Neste Oyj Valuation

Is NEF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NEF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NEF (CHF16.41) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF46.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NEF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NEF?

Key metric: As NEF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NEF. This is calculated by dividing NEF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NEF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.8x
Earnings€956.00m
Market Cap€13.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NEF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NEF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.4x
BPCL Bharat Petroleum
9.7x3.5%₹1.3t
5020 ENEOS Holdings
11.9x12.1%JP¥2.2t
PKN Orlen
16.1x17.6%zł60.4b
6505 Formosa Petrochemical
67.7x51.5%NT$415.3b
NEF Neste Oyj
13.8x22.4%CHF 13.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NEF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the peer average (9.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NEF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NEF 13.8xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies17PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NEF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NEF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NEF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NEF's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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