Mastercard Valuation

Is MA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MA (CHF270) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CHF261.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue17.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA28.5x
PEG Ratio3.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.1x
V Visa
30.3x10.0%US$549.3b
UBSG UBS Group
3.2x-33.6%CHF80.4b
PGHN Partners Group Holding
30.9x13.9%CHF31.0b
FI Fiserv
28.2x13.6%US$91.2b
MA Mastercard
38.4x12.3%CHF430.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x) compared to the peer average (23.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-4.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-4.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (11.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.4x
Fair PE Ratio25.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF270.00
CHF469.99
+74.1%
6.2%CHF562.57CHF376.88n/a36
Apr ’25CHF270.00
CHF460.19
+70.4%
5.3%CHF519.88CHF372.51n/a36
Mar ’25CHF270.00
CHF445.45
+65.0%
5.5%CHF506.02CHF362.58n/a37
Feb ’25CHF265.00
CHF422.30
+59.4%
7.1%CHF459.73CHF353.38n/a36
Jan ’25CHF265.00
CHF390.51
+47.4%
6.5%CHF444.88CHF350.77n/a35
Dec ’24CHF265.00
CHF395.19
+49.1%
5.1%CHF430.34CHF360.99n/a34
Nov ’24CHF265.00
CHF405.60
+53.1%
5.0%CHF440.26CHF369.31n/a35
Oct ’24CHF265.00
CHF419.06
+58.1%
5.8%CHF484.15CHF371.58n/a33
Sep ’24CHF265.00
CHF399.70
+50.8%
6.1%CHF465.82CHF342.54n/a34
Aug ’24CHF265.00
CHF392.98
+48.3%
6.1%CHF461.35CHF339.25n/a34
Jul ’24CHF265.00
CHF387.94
+46.4%
4.4%CHF426.87CHF348.85n/a34
Jun ’24CHF265.00
CHF392.07
+48.0%
4.7%CHF430.77CHF352.03n/a33
May ’24CHF265.00
CHF386.27
+45.8%
4.5%CHF423.01CHF348.62n/a34
Apr ’24CHF265.00
CHF390.08
+47.2%
4.8%CHF431.78CHF355.85CHF270.0033
Mar ’24CHF265.00
CHF390.68
+47.4%
5.6%CHF435.14CHF331.89CHF270.0035
Feb ’24CHF265.00
CHF385.71
+45.6%
6.3%CHF432.10CHF324.99CHF265.0035
Jan ’24CHF265.00
CHF370.39
+39.8%
7.5%CHF440.78CHF289.49CHF265.0034
Dec ’23CHF265.00
CHF371.39
+40.1%
7.9%CHF444.03CHF291.63CHF265.0035
Nov ’23CHF265.00
CHF395.99
+49.4%
7.7%CHF472.06CHF310.04CHF265.0035
Oct ’23CHF265.00
CHF411.56
+55.3%
8.0%CHF465.72CHF307.85CHF265.0035
Sep ’23CHF265.00
CHF400.57
+51.2%
6.7%CHF448.06CHF350.28CHF265.0034
Aug ’23CHF265.00
CHF398.06
+50.2%
8.3%CHF449.33CHF288.45CHF265.0035
Jul ’23CHF265.00
CHF409.97
+54.7%
7.5%CHF453.05CHF342.67CHF265.0034
Jun ’23CHF265.00
CHF415.92
+57.0%
7.4%CHF463.75CHF344.92CHF265.0034
May ’23CHF265.00
CHF423.22
+59.7%
6.4%CHF466.87CHF347.23CHF265.0033
Apr ’23CHF265.00
CHF400.82
+51.3%
6.6%CHF444.24CHF333.18CHF265.0033

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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