Stock Analysis

Kardex Holding's (VTX:KARN) Strong Earnings Are Of Good Quality

SWX:KARN
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When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like Kardex Holding AG's (VTX:KARN) stock has recently. We have done some analysis, and we found several positive factors beyond the profit numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Kardex Holding

earnings-and-revenue-history
SWX:KARN Earnings and Revenue History August 3rd 2024

Zooming In On Kardex Holding's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Kardex Holding recorded an accrual ratio of -0.26. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of €102m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of €72.6m. Kardex Holding shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Kardex Holding's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Kardex Holding produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Kardex Holding's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And the EPS is up 67% annually, over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Kardex Holding at this point in time. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Kardex Holding, and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Kardex Holding's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kardex Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.