Georg Fischer Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of GF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

GF (CHF67.15) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CHF113.45)

Is GF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GF (CHF67.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF113.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for GF. This is calculated by dividing GF's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is GF's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	CHF 5.50b

GF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	14.5x
PEG Ratio	1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	36.5x
SUN Sulzer	18.3x	11.1%	CHF 4.4b
SFSN SFS Group	19.9x	10.0%	CHF 5.0b
DAE Dätwyler Holding	42.3x	23.8%	CHF 3.1b
VACN VAT Group	65.5x	22.5%	CHF 13.1b
GF Georg Fischer	26.3x	23.0%	CHF 5.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.3x) compared to the peer average (36.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	13.8%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	13.8%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.3x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	26.3x
Fair PE Ratio	30.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CHF 67.15	CHF 75.50 +12.4%	5.4%	CHF 80.00	CHF 70.00	n/a	6
Aug ’25	CHF 64.70	CHF 75.50 +16.7%	5.4%	CHF 80.00	CHF 70.00	n/a	6
Jul ’25	CHF 60.30	CHF 75.00 +24.4%	7.2%	CHF 82.00	CHF 66.00	n/a	7
Jun ’25	CHF 65.20	CHF 75.14 +15.2%	6.8%	CHF 82.00	CHF 67.00	n/a	7
May ’25	CHF 64.50	CHF 74.43 +15.4%	6.4%	CHF 82.00	CHF 67.00	n/a	7
Apr ’25	CHF 66.90	CHF 72.00 +7.6%	10.9%	CHF 82.00	CHF 56.00	n/a	7
Mar ’25	CHF 66.00	CHF 70.43 +6.7%	9.1%	CHF 77.00	CHF 56.00	n/a	7
Feb ’25	CHF 58.60	CHF 69.67 +18.9%	9.7%	CHF 77.00	CHF 56.00	n/a	6
Jan ’25	CHF 61.10	CHF 69.67 +14.0%	9.7%	CHF 77.00	CHF 56.00	n/a	6
Dec ’24	CHF 57.45	CHF 69.17 +20.4%	9.0%	CHF 75.00	CHF 56.00	n/a	6
Nov ’24	CHF 46.24	CHF 69.92 +51.2%	10.2%	CHF 75.00	CHF 54.50	n/a	6
Oct ’24	CHF 51.65	CHF 72.43 +40.2%	3.2%	CHF 75.00	CHF 69.55	n/a	6
Sep ’24	CHF 57.30	CHF 73.76 +28.7%	3.9%	CHF 77.00	CHF 69.55	CHF 67.15	6
Aug ’24	CHF 59.45	CHF 75.59 +27.2%	5.9%	CHF 81.00	CHF 69.55	CHF 64.70	6
Jul ’24	CHF 67.15	CHF 75.67 +12.7%	5.7%	CHF 81.00	CHF 70.00	CHF 60.30	6
Jun ’24	CHF 60.60	CHF 74.79 +23.4%	7.6%	CHF 81.00	CHF 63.50	CHF 65.20	7
May ’24	CHF 64.75	CHF 74.97 +15.8%	7.1%	CHF 81.00	CHF 64.80	CHF 64.50	7
Apr ’24	CHF 70.90	CHF 71.69 +1.1%	9.2%	CHF 80.00	CHF 60.00	CHF 66.90	7
Mar ’24	CHF 67.20	CHF 65.86 -2.0%	9.9%	CHF 72.00	CHF 53.00	CHF 66.00	7
Feb ’24	CHF 63.25	CHF 65.14 +3.0%	9.7%	CHF 72.00	CHF 53.00	CHF 58.60	7
Jan ’24	CHF 56.60	CHF 65.14 +15.1%	9.7%	CHF 72.00	CHF 53.00	CHF 61.10	7
Dec ’23	CHF 57.60	CHF 64.86 +12.6%	9.3%	CHF 71.00	CHF 53.00	CHF 57.45	7
Nov ’23	CHF 55.15	CHF 67.07 +21.6%	8.5%	CHF 77.50	CHF 60.00	CHF 46.24	7
Oct ’23	CHF 47.60	CHF 67.07 +40.9%	8.5%	CHF 77.50	CHF 60.00	CHF 51.65	7
Sep ’23	CHF 50.90	CHF 66.64 +30.9%	9.4%	CHF 77.50	CHF 58.00	CHF 57.30	7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.