Bucher Industries Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of BUCN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

BUCN (CHF356) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CHF463.43)

Is BUCN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BUCN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BUCN (CHF356) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF463.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BUCN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BUCN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for BUCN. This is calculated by dividing BUCN's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is BUCN's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	CHF 3.68b

BUCN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	6.7x
PEG Ratio	-2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BUCN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BUCN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	26.3x
SRAIL Stadler Rail	20.5x	23.1%	CHF 2.6b
SUN Sulzer	19.7x	9.7%	CHF 4.5b
GF Georg Fischer	21x	16.5%	CHF 4.9b
DAE Dätwyler Holding	44x	22.3%	CHF 2.9b
BUCN Bucher Industries	10.4x	-5.3%	CHF 3.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BUCN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the peer average (26x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BUCN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CH Machinery Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	11.3%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	11.3%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BUCN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BUCN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BUCN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	10.4x
Fair PE Ratio	13.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BUCN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BUCN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CHF 359.00	CHF 410.29 +14.3%	9.0%	CHF 470.00	CHF 365.00	n/a	7
Jun ’25	CHF 372.00	CHF 409.86 +10.2%	9.1%	CHF 470.00	CHF 365.00	n/a	7
May ’25	CHF 355.00	CHF 410.14 +15.5%	8.6%	CHF 470.00	CHF 365.00	n/a	7
Apr ’25	CHF 396.80	CHF 413.00 +4.1%	8.9%	CHF 483.00	CHF 370.00	n/a	7
Mar ’25	CHF 380.00	CHF 403.71 +6.2%	10.0%	CHF 483.00	CHF 363.00	n/a	7
Feb ’25	CHF 370.60	CHF 399.86 +7.9%	10.8%	CHF 483.00	CHF 340.00	n/a	7
Jan ’25	CHF 353.20	CHF 397.57 +12.6%	11.8%	CHF 483.00	CHF 340.00	n/a	7
Dec ’24	CHF 350.80	CHF 397.57 +13.3%	11.8%	CHF 483.00	CHF 340.00	n/a	7
Nov ’24	CHF 322.00	CHF 397.57 +23.5%	11.8%	CHF 483.00	CHF 340.00	n/a	7
Oct ’24	CHF 350.60	CHF 437.00 +24.6%	8.3%	CHF 492.00	CHF 385.00	n/a	7
Sep ’24	CHF 362.60	CHF 436.88 +20.5%	7.8%	CHF 492.00	CHF 385.00	n/a	8
Aug ’24	CHF 388.00	CHF 449.50 +15.9%	7.5%	CHF 500.00	CHF 400.00	n/a	8
Jul ’24	CHF 395.00	CHF 455.63 +15.3%	8.1%	CHF 505.00	CHF 400.00	CHF 359.50	8
Jun ’24	CHF 384.60	CHF 455.75 +18.5%	8.1%	CHF 505.00	CHF 400.00	CHF 372.00	8
May ’24	CHF 400.80	CHF 453.50 +13.1%	7.9%	CHF 505.00	CHF 400.00	CHF 355.00	8
Apr ’24	CHF 427.40	CHF 452.00 +5.8%	7.9%	CHF 505.00	CHF 400.00	CHF 396.80	7
Mar ’24	CHF 434.40	CHF 451.71 +4.0%	10.4%	CHF 545.00	CHF 400.00	CHF 380.00	7
Feb ’24	CHF 418.20	CHF 433.00 +3.5%	11.7%	CHF 545.00	CHF 385.00	CHF 370.60	7
Jan ’24	CHF 386.80	CHF 430.14 +11.2%	11.6%	CHF 545.00	CHF 385.00	CHF 353.20	7
Dec ’23	CHF 379.80	CHF 430.43 +13.3%	11.6%	CHF 545.00	CHF 385.00	CHF 350.80	7
Nov ’23	CHF 335.00	CHF 419.71 +25.3%	13.6%	CHF 545.00	CHF 370.00	CHF 322.00	7
Oct ’23	CHF 311.20	CHF 431.14 +38.5%	12.4%	CHF 550.00	CHF 380.00	CHF 350.60	7
Sep ’23	CHF 336.60	CHF 431.14 +28.1%	12.4%	CHF 550.00	CHF 380.00	CHF 362.60	7
Aug ’23	CHF 363.60	CHF 432.57 +19.0%	13.4%	CHF 537.00	CHF 360.00	CHF 388.00	7
Jul ’23	CHF 334.40	CHF 432.57 +29.4%	13.4%	CHF 537.00	CHF 360.00	CHF 395.00	7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.