Revenue Downgrade: Here's What Analysts Forecast For Montana Aerospace AG (VTX:AERO)

Market forces rained on the parade of Montana Aerospace AG (VTX:AERO) shareholders today, when the analysts downgraded their forecasts for this year. This report focused on revenue estimates, and it looks as though the consensus view of the business has become substantially more conservative. Surprisingly the share price has been buoyant, rising 16% to CHF30.00 in the past 7 days. It will be interesting to see if the downgrade has an impact on buying demand for the company's shares.

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After the downgrade, the consensus from Montana Aerospace's four analysts is for revenues of €1.3b in 2025, which would reflect a concerning 23% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Before the latest update, the analysts were foreseeing €1.6b of revenue in 2025. It looks like forecasts have become a fair bit less optimistic on Montana Aerospace, given the pretty serious reduction to revenue estimates.

See our latest analysis for Montana Aerospace

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 41% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 11% over the last three years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the same industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 11% annually for the foreseeable future. It's pretty clear that Montana Aerospace's revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their revenue estimates for this year. They're also anticipating slower revenue growth than the wider market. Often, one downgrade can set off a daisy-chain of cuts, especially if an industry is in decline. So we wouldn't be surprised if the market became a lot more cautious on Montana Aerospace after today.

Thirsting for more data? At least one of Montana Aerospace's four analysts has provided estimates out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.