Nordea Bank Abp Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of NDB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

NDB (CHF12) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CHF31.31)

Is NDB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NDB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NDB (CHF12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF31.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NDB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NDB?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for NDB. This is calculated by dividing NDB's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is NDB's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	€37.10b

NDB key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	-1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NDB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NDB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	15.1x
LLBN Liechtensteinische Landesbank	14.1x	3.4%	CHF 2.3b
BCVN Banque Cantonale Vaudoise	17.6x	1.6%	CHF 7.9b
GRKP Graubündner Kantonalbank	19.4x	-0.5%	CHF 4.2b
FAB First Abu Dhabi Bank P.J.S.C	9.2x	3.4%	د.إ147.1b
NDB Nordea Bank Abp	7.3x	-3.9%	CHF 422.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NDB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (15.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NDB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	2.0%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	2.0%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NDB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NDB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NDB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	7.3x
Fair PE Ratio	11.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NDB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NDB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CHF 12.00	CHF 12.22 +1.8%	8.0%	CHF 13.75	CHF 10.39	n/a	13
Aug ’25	CHF 12.00	CHF 12.28 +2.3%	9.6%	CHF 14.53	CHF 9.95	n/a	13
Jul ’25	CHF 12.00	CHF 12.46 +3.8%	8.3%	CHF 14.75	CHF 10.31	n/a	12
Jun ’25	CHF 12.00	CHF 12.71 +5.9%	8.2%	CHF 14.55	CHF 10.20	n/a	12
May ’25	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.54 +4.2%	8.2%	CHF 14.17	CHF 10.08	n/a	12
Apr ’25	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.63 +5.0%	8.5%	CHF 14.19	CHF 9.82	n/a	13
Mar ’25	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.44 +3.4%	9.6%	CHF 15.29	CHF 9.62	n/a	14
Feb ’25	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.49 +3.8%	10.1%	CHF 15.14	CHF 9.64	n/a	13
Jan ’25	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.56 +4.4%	8.5%	CHF 15.19	CHF 11.08	n/a	12
Dec ’24	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.37 +2.8%	5.7%	CHF 13.55	CHF 11.15	n/a	13
Nov ’24	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.35 +2.7%	6.3%	CHF 13.69	CHF 11.11	n/a	14
Oct ’24	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.10 +0.6%	7.4%	CHF 13.72	CHF 10.68	n/a	14
Sep ’24	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.12 +0.8%	6.9%	CHF 13.67	CHF 10.74	n/a	15
Aug ’24	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.11 +0.7%	6.9%	CHF 13.66	CHF 10.73	CHF 12.00	15
Jul ’24	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.20 +1.4%	6.1%	CHF 13.77	CHF 10.97	CHF 12.00	16
Jun ’24	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.35 +2.6%	6.1%	CHF 13.73	CHF 11.22	CHF 12.00	15
May ’24	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.50 +3.9%	6.0%	CHF 13.89	CHF 11.37	CHF 12.03	15
Apr ’24	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.71 +5.6%	6.0%	CHF 14.36	CHF 11.40	CHF 12.03	15
Mar ’24	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.72 +5.8%	6.1%	CHF 14.37	CHF 11.41	CHF 12.03	15
Feb ’24	CHF 12.03	CHF 12.18 +1.3%	6.8%	CHF 13.93	CHF 10.44	CHF 12.03	15
Jan ’24	CHF 12.03	CHF 11.94 -0.8%	8.1%	CHF 14.11	CHF 10.28	CHF 12.03	15
Dec ’23	CHF 12.03	CHF 11.93 -0.9%	8.0%	CHF 14.11	CHF 10.28	CHF 12.03	15
Nov ’23	CHF 12.03	CHF 11.83 -1.7%	9.6%	CHF 13.97	CHF 10.34	CHF 12.03	14
Oct ’23	CHF 12.03	CHF 11.42 -5.1%	10.3%	CHF 13.71	CHF 10.12	CHF 12.03	14
Sep ’23	CHF 12.03	CHF 11.37 -5.5%	9.9%	CHF 13.82	CHF 10.16	CHF 12.03	15
Aug ’23	CHF 12.03	CHF 11.58 -3.8%	10.2%	CHF 14.12	CHF 10.15	CHF 12.03	15

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.