Tesla, Inc.

SWX:TSLA Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 1.2t

Tesla Valuation

Is TSLA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TSLA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: TSLA (CHF298.25) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (CHF122.44)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: TSLA is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TSLA?

Key metric: As TSLA is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TSLA. This is calculated by dividing TSLA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TSLA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio13.9x
SalesUS$103.62b
Market CapUS$1.44t

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TSLA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TSLA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.8x
7203 Toyota Motor
0.7x3.33%JP¥35.7t
1211 BYD
0.8x11.56%HK$834.9b
GM General Motors
0.4x1.89%US$75.1b
RACE Ferrari
9.2x6.02%€68.6b
TSLA Tesla
13.9x15.20%CHF 1.4t

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.9x) compared to the peer average (2.8x).

Historical Price to Sales Ratio

Historical Price to Sales Ratio compares a stock's price to its sales over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TSLA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TSLA 13.9xIndustry Avg. 0.3xNo. of Companies9PS00.40.81.21.62+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.9x) compared to the European Auto industry average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TSLA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TSLA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio13.9x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: TSLA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (13.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TSLA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 295.00
CHF 318.56
+7.99%
28.59%CHF 489.98CHF 102.08n/a39
Sep ’27CHF 295.45
CHF 316.53
+7.13%
28.59%CHF 486.85CHF 101.43n/a39
Aug ’27CHF 246.55
CHF 321.97
+30.59%
29.29%CHF 485.02CHF 101.05n/a40
Jul ’27CHF 348.10
CHF 340.87
-2.08%
26.43%CHF 485.62CHF 99.55n/a41
Jun ’27CHF 334.43
CHF 324.94
-2.84%
28.90%CHF 473.34CHF 97.03n/a41
May ’27CHF 297.70
CHF 327.59
+10.04%
28.93%CHF 474.65CHF 97.30n/a41
Apr ’27CHF 300.29
CHF 335.00
+11.56%
30.52%CHF 479.90CHF 95.18n/a41
Mar ’27CHF 311.50
CHF 326.36
+4.77%
30.58%CHF 464.32CHF 96.73n/a40
Feb ’27n/a
CHF 323.70
0%
30.89%CHF 463.80CHF 96.63n/a39
Jan ’27n/a
CHF 316.24
0%
33.80%CHF 475.37CHF 95.07n/a40
Dec ’26n/a
CHF 316.24
0%
32.41%CHF 482.90CHF 96.58n/a41
Nov ’26n/a
CHF 313.27
0%
32.32%CHF 480.34CHF 96.07n/a41
Oct ’26n/a
CHF 275.01
0%
35.47%CHF 477.59CHF 91.54n/a38
Sep ’26n/a
CHF 245.17
0%
32.10%CHF 400.19CHF 92.04CHF 295.4540
Aug ’26n/a
CHF 246.79
0%
32.10%CHF 402.83CHF 92.65CHF 246.5540
Jul ’26n/a
CHF 242.52
0%
33.34%CHF 396.19CHF 91.12CHF 348.1041
Jun ’26n/a
CHF 246.31
0%
32.81%CHF 411.37CHF 94.61CHF 334.4342
May ’26n/a
CHF 240.12
0%
32.09%CHF 385.75CHF 95.40CHF 297.7042
Apr ’26n/a
CHF 291.40
0%
34.74%CHF 486.14CHF 106.07CHF 300.2942
Mar ’26n/a
CHF 310.74
0%
35.02%CHF 494.59CHF 121.40CHF 311.5042
Feb ’26n/a
CHF 295.97
0%
38.63%CHF 500.90CHF 122.95n/a41
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 256.58
0%
38.82%CHF 477.23CHF 108.46n/a42
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 206.63
0%
29.81%CHF 354.48CHF 75.33n/a42
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 192.52
0%
26.86%CHF 271.99CHF 73.39n/a43
Oct ’25CHF 2,000.00
CHF 177.09
-91.15%
29.52%CHF 263.58CHF 72.27n/a42
Sep ’25CHF 2,000.00
CHF 175.09
-91.25%
29.86%CHF 265.03CHF 72.67n/a43
CHF 318.37
Fair Value
6.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
39
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/14 20:21
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tesla, Inc. is covered by 80 analysts. 44 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theodore O'NeillAscendiant Capital Markets LLC
Benjamin KalloBaird