Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft

BRSE:BMW Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 40.0b

Bayerische Motoren Werke Valuation

Is BMW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BMW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BMW (CHF63.84) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF114.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BMW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BMW?

Key metric: As BMW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BMW. This is calculated by dividing BMW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BMW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.3x
Earnings€8.18b
Market Cap€42.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BMW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BMW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.3x
F Ford Motor
12.6x19.7%US$43.8b
VOW3 Volkswagen
3.4x9.6%€42.8b
7267 Honda Motor
6.6x5.8%JP¥6.5t
STLAM Stellantis
2.7x-0.3%€36.3b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
5.3x5.6%CHF 42.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BMW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the peer average (6.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BMW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BMW 5.3xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies17PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BMW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (14.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BMW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BMW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.3x
Fair PE Ratio12.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BMW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BMW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 63.84
CHF 83.64
+31.0%
20.9%CHF 144.22CHF 56.19n/a22
Nov ’25CHF 69.21
CHF 87.70
+26.7%
19.7%CHF 144.36CHF 65.62n/a21
Oct ’25CHF 74.70
CHF 88.81
+18.9%
18.8%CHF 144.95CHF 69.65n/a22
Sep ’25CHF 79.00
CHF 100.98
+27.8%
16.3%CHF 156.25CHF 75.30n/a22
Aug ’25CHF 82.10
CHF 104.35
+27.1%
15.3%CHF 156.49CHF 79.19n/a22
Jul ’25CHF 84.80
CHF 109.53
+29.2%
14.4%CHF 160.75CHF 81.34n/a22
Jun ’25CHF 91.09
CHF 112.31
+23.3%
14.0%CHF 164.44CHF 89.15n/a22
May ’25CHF 101.42
CHF 110.23
+8.7%
14.0%CHF 161.07CHF 87.85n/a22
Apr ’25CHF 104.23
CHF 108.79
+4.4%
14.4%CHF 160.31CHF 82.58n/a22
Mar ’25CHF 105.88
CHF 104.74
-1.1%
14.5%CHF 154.90CHF 80.77n/a23
Feb ’25CHF 87.63
CHF 102.54
+17.0%
14.4%CHF 151.95CHF 79.24n/a23
Jan ’25CHF 93.39
CHF 103.15
+10.4%
14.7%CHF 153.61CHF 80.10n/a22
Dec ’24CHF 91.04
CHF 105.71
+16.1%
15.2%CHF 157.26CHF 82.00n/a21
Nov ’24CHF 85.17
CHF 107.70
+26.5%
13.1%CHF 154.03CHF 86.64CHF 69.2121
Oct ’24CHF 94.07
CHF 107.81
+14.6%
13.1%CHF 153.39CHF 86.28CHF 74.7021
Sep ’24CHF 90.99
CHF 109.04
+19.8%
12.5%CHF 153.52CHF 86.35CHF 79.0021
Aug ’24CHF 106.27
CHF 110.01
+3.5%
12.7%CHF 151.00CHF 90.41CHF 82.1020
Jul ’24CHF 110.00
CHF 110.57
+0.5%
13.5%CHF 154.00CHF 86.32CHF 84.8020
Jun ’24CHF 100.98
CHF 107.79
+6.8%
14.8%CHF 153.07CHF 82.87CHF 91.0921
May ’24CHF 98.98
CHF 106.26
+7.4%
15.2%CHF 154.63CHF 83.72CHF 101.4221
Apr ’24CHF 98.59
CHF 104.67
+6.2%
15.9%CHF 154.20CHF 77.10CHF 104.2321
Mar ’24n/a
CHF 101.62
0%
15.6%CHF 149.83CHF 76.89CHF 105.8821
Feb ’24CHF 91.55
CHF 101.96
+11.4%
16.2%CHF 151.74CHF 77.87CHF 87.6321
Jan ’24n/a
CHF 97.62
0%
19.0%CHF 150.19CHF 69.17CHF 93.3921
Dec ’23n/a
CHF 97.38
0%
19.9%CHF 149.24CHF 68.73CHF 91.0421
Nov ’23CHF 78.41
CHF 97.41
+24.2%
19.3%CHF 147.00CHF 68.60CHF 85.1722

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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