Hydro One Limited

TSX:H Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$35.1b

Hydro One Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Hydro One is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 5.7% and 3.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 5.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.6% in 3 years.

Key information

5.7%

Earnings growth rate

5.41%

EPS growth rate

Electric Utilities earnings growth10.8%
Revenue growth rate3.5%
Future return on equity10.60%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated29 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 04

H: Tight Price Range And Planned CEO Shift Will Guide A Steady Outlook

Hydro One's updated fair value has moved slightly higher, with analysts nudging their average price target up by about CA$1. This adjustment is supported by a series of recent target increases from major banks that reflect steady assumptions for growth, margins, and future P/E.
Narrative Update Apr 19

H: Tight Pricing Band And CEO Transition Will Shape A Steady Outlook

Hydro One's analyst fair value estimate has edged up from CA$55.53 to CA$56.00, reflecting analysts' slightly higher price targets in the CA$55 to CA$58 range and their broadly steady views on the company's earnings profile and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of price targets in the CA$55 to CA$58 range.
Narrative Update Apr 04

H: Incremental Repricing And Leadership Transition Will Shape A Steady Forward Outlook

Hydro One's analyst price target has been revised slightly higher from about CA$54.79 to CA$55.53, reflecting analysts' updated view after a series of recent price target increases across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Hydro One has centered on modestly higher price targets and generally neutral stock ratings, which together suggest a balanced view of upside potential and execution risk.
Narrative Update Mar 21

H: Stable Outlook And Recent Commentary Will Shape Measured Repricing Expectations

Hydro One's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from CA$53.68 to CA$54.79. This change reflects a series of recent price target increases from analysts who point to updated revenue and earnings assumptions while generally maintaining mid range ratings on the stock.
Narrative Update Mar 06

H: Stable Outlook And Higher P E Assumptions Will Shape Modest Repricing Potential

Our updated fair value estimate for Hydro One edges up by about CA$0.50 per share, reflecting a modest adjustment in projected growth assumptions as analysts lift their price targets into the CA$55 to CA$58 range while largely maintaining neutral to hold style ratings. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Hydro One points to a fairly clustered set of views, with several firms lifting their price targets into the mid CA$50s while keeping neutral style ratings.
Narrative Update Feb 19

H: Stable Outlook And Higher P E Assumptions Will Guide Measured Repricing Potential

Analysts have nudged our Hydro One fair value estimate higher to CA$53.18 from CA$52.07, reflecting recent upward revisions to Street price targets in the CA$55 to CA$58 range and updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research centers on a cluster of higher price targets in the CA$55 to CA$58 range, which sit modestly above our updated fair value estimate of CA$53.18.
Narrative Update Feb 04

H: Stable Outlook And Labour Negotiations Will Shape Measured Repricing Potential

Hydro One’s updated analyst price target ticks slightly lower to about C$52.07 from C$52.21. Analysts outline higher revenue growth assumptions, modestly softer profit margins and a small adjustment to future P/E expectations, with recent Street targets ranging from C$52 to C$57.
Narrative Update Jan 21

H: Stable Returns And EPS Outlook Will Support Measured Repricing Potential

Narrative update on Hydro One The analyst price target for Hydro One has been revised modestly higher, supported by recent Street updates that lifted targets to C$57 and C$52 as analysts factor in small adjustments to fair value, discount rate, profit margin assumptions and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street updates on Hydro One point to a slightly higher view of fair value, with price targets clustered in the low to mid C$50s and ratings maintained at neutral levels.
Narrative Update Jan 06

H: Regulated Returns And EPS Outlook Will Support Defensive Positioning

Analysts have nudged their average price target on Hydro One higher into the low C$50s, reflecting updated sector views that emphasize the role of regulated utilities as a defensive hedge, alongside expectations for generally solid loads and new rates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has clustered around higher fair value estimates for Hydro One, with several firms lifting their price targets into a C$52 to C$57 range while maintaining mid tier ratings such as Market Perform, Sector Perform and Neutral.
Analysis Article Dec 29

Hydro One (TSE:H) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Narrative Update Dec 23

H: Updated Earnings Outlook And Regulated Returns Will Support Defensive Exposure

Hydro One's analyst-derived fair value has edged higher to approximately C$52.14 from about C$51.57, as analysts modestly increase their price targets based on stable regulated returns, slightly improved profit margin expectations, and supportive sector dynamics. Analyst Commentary Recent target price increases reflect a generally constructive view on Hydro One, driven by the stability of its regulated business model and modest upgrades to earnings expectations.
Analysis Article Dec 11

With EPS Growth And More, Hydro One (TSE:H) Makes An Interesting Case

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Narrative Update Dec 09

H: Updated Earnings Outlook And Stable Loads Will Support Defensive Exposure

Analysts have nudged their average price target for Hydro One modestly higher, with recent increases to approximately C$52 to C$57. This reflects confidence in stable regulated earnings and new rate structures amid a more volatile broader power market.
Narrative Update Nov 25

H: Updated Price Objective And Stable Loads Will Support Defensive Exposure

Hydro One's analyst price target has been raised, with updated valuations increasing from approximately C$50.21 to C$51.57. Analysts cite stronger revenue growth forecasts and a slight improvement in profit margins as reasons for the upgrade.
Narrative Update Nov 07

H: Defensive Exposure And Stable Returns Will Remain Key Amid Volatility

Analyst price targets for Hydro One have been raised, with the consensus moving up by up to C$2 per share. Analysts cite solid Q3 results, resilient regulated utility performance, and the appeal of defensive exposure amid increased market volatility.
Narrative Update Oct 24

Electricity Demand Trends Will Strengthen Stability Amid Shifting Market Dynamics

Analysts have modestly increased their fair value estimate for Hydro One following a C$2 price target uptick. The outlook is supported by solid Q3 performance expectations and the stability of regulated utilities in a volatile market environment.
Analysis Article Sep 09

Is Hydro One (TSE:H) A Risky Investment?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...
Narrative Update Sep 04

Ontario Grid Modernization Will Unlock 70% Electricity Demand Potential

Analysts view Hydro One's earnings visibility and strong financial position as supportive, but premium valuation concerns relative to peers have led most to see the stock as fairly valued, with the consensus price target unchanged at CA$49.68. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Hydro One's 100% electric utility weighting as a key differentiator supporting premium valuation.
Analysis Article Aug 01

Returns On Capital At Hydro One (TSE:H) Have Stalled

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an...
Analysis Article Jul 14

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Hydro One (TSE:H) Presents An Opportunity

For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to...
Analysis Article Jun 26

Hydro One Limited (TSE:H) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.9x Hydro One Limited ( TSE:H ) may be sending very bearish signals at...
Analysis Article Jun 10

Hydro One (TSE:H) Is Increasing Its Dividend To CA$0.3331

The board of Hydro One Limited ( TSE:H ) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of CA$0.3331 on the 30th of...
Analysis Article May 27

Hydro One (TSE:H) Is Increasing Its Dividend To CA$0.3331

Hydro One Limited ( TSE:H ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 30th of June to...
Analysis Article May 13

Hydro One's (TSE:H) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Hydro One Limited ( TSE:H ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 30th of June to...
Analysis Article May 09

Does This Valuation Of Hydro One Limited (TSE:H) Imply Investors Are Overpaying?

Key Insights Using the Dividend Discount Model, Hydro One fair value estimate is CA$42.16 Hydro One is estimated to be...
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New Narrative Nov 07

Calculated Investments Drive Revenue And Margins Up

Population growth and new projects are expected to boost Hydro One's revenue through investments in transmission and distribution.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:H - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20289,8141,495N/A2,8673
12/31/20279,5641,4344212,7597
12/31/20269,2941,3811822,6156
12/31/20259,0411,339-5682,695N/A
9/30/20258,8681,306-6912,531N/A
6/30/20258,7611,256-7242,441N/A
3/31/20258,7261,221-5252,582N/A
12/31/20248,4841,156-5972,534N/A
9/30/20248,3681,137-4812,599N/A
6/30/20248,1101,123-3532,618N/A
3/31/20247,9361,096-3242,524N/A
12/31/20237,8441,085-2772,412N/A
9/30/20237,7271,082-732,246N/A
6/30/20237,8241,032-102,198N/A
3/31/20237,8071,02292,167N/A
12/31/20227,7801,0501462,260N/A
9/30/20227,6971,0312882,328N/A
6/30/20227,5791,0242522,284N/A
3/31/20227,4611,007562,075N/A
12/31/20217,225965782,149N/A
9/30/20217,313967-2311,906N/A
6/30/20217,303948-972,036N/A
3/31/20217,2511,813N/A1,999N/A
12/31/20207,2901,7701862,030N/A
9/30/20207,1381,8203312,154N/A
6/30/20206,8281,7803812,122N/A
3/31/20206,5718323592,044N/A
12/31/20196,480778-141,614N/A
9/30/20196,256-138N/A1,462N/A
6/30/20196,269-185N/A1,322N/A
3/31/20196,333-140N/A1,317N/A
12/31/20186,150-89N/A1,575N/A
9/30/20186,098771N/A1,699N/A
6/30/20186,014796N/A1,633N/A
3/31/20185,908713N/A1,621N/A
12/31/20175,990658N/A1,716N/A
9/30/20176,165631N/A1,667N/A
6/30/20176,349645N/A1,735N/A
3/31/20176,524680N/A1,759N/A
12/31/20166,552721N/A1,656N/A
9/30/20166,460736N/A-1,248N/A
6/30/20166,399691N/A-1,289N/A
3/31/20166,416670N/A-1,306N/A
12/31/20156,538690N/A-1,248N/A
9/30/20156,678763N/A1,661N/A
6/30/20156,589744N/A1,635N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: H's forecast earnings growth (5.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3%).

Earnings vs Market: H's earnings (5.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (10.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: H's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: H's revenue (3.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (4.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: H's revenue (3.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: H's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.6%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/07 18:18
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/07 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Hydro One Limited is covered by 18 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Michael LoneganBarclays
Benjamin PhamBMO Capital Markets Equity Research