The board of Hydro One Limited (TSE:H) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of CA$0.3331 on the 30th of June, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This takes the annual payment to 2.5% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.
Hydro One's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions
If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Before making this announcement, Hydro One was earning enough to cover the dividend, but it wasn't generating any free cash flows. No cash flows could definitely make returning cash to shareholders difficult, or at least mean the balance sheet will come under pressure.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 16.4%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 26% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.
See our latest analysis for Hydro One
Hydro One Is Still Building Its Track Record
Hydro One's dividend has been pretty stable for a little while now, but we will continue to be cautious until it has been demonstrated for a few more years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CA$0.84 in 2016 to the most recent total annual payment of CA$1.24. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.4% a year over that time. Modest dividend growth is good to see, especially with the payments being relatively stable. However, the payment history is relatively short and we wouldn't want to rely on this dividend too much.
The Dividend Has Growth Potential
Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Hydro One has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 7.9% per annum. While on an earnings basis, this company looks appealing as an income stock, the cash payout ratio still makes us cautious.
In Summary
Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Hydro One will make a great income stock. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hydro One (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:H
Hydro One
Through its subsidiaries, operates as an electricity transmission and distribution company in Ontario.
Proven track record unattractive dividend payer.
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