Stock Analysis

AltaGas (TSE:ALA) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies AltaGas Ltd. (TSE:ALA) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

What Is AltaGas's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2025 AltaGas had debt of CA$9.72b, up from CA$9.31b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$197.0m, its net debt is less, at about CA$9.52b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:ALA Debt to Equity History June 18th 2025

How Strong Is AltaGas' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, AltaGas had liabilities of CA$2.96b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$13.7b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$197.0m and CA$1.79b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CA$14.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CA$11.5b, we think shareholders really should watch AltaGas's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

View our latest analysis for AltaGas

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

AltaGas has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.7 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 2.6 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Notably, AltaGas's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, which isn't ideal given the debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if AltaGas can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, AltaGas recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

On the face of it, AltaGas's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its net debt to EBITDA was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. It's also worth noting that AltaGas is in the Gas Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. We're quite clear that we consider AltaGas to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example AltaGas has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:ALA

AltaGas

Operates as an energy infrastructure company in North America.

Solid track record and good value.

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