Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Zoomd Technologies Ltd.'s (CVE:ZOMD) Muted Revenues Despite A 46% Share Price Rise

TSXV:ZOMD
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Zoomd Technologies Ltd. (CVE:ZOMD) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 46% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 19% is also fairly reasonable.

Although its price has surged higher, Zoomd Technologies' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.3x and even P/S above 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Zoomd Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:ZOMD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 12th 2024

What Does Zoomd Technologies' Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Zoomd Technologies' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zoomd Technologies' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zoomd Technologies would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 29%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 25% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Zoomd Technologies' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price move, Zoomd Technologies' P/S still trails the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

In line with expectations, Zoomd Technologies maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Zoomd Technologies that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zoomd Technologies might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.