Stock Analysis

We Think Quisitive Technology Solutions (CVE:QUIS) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

TSXV:QUIS
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Quisitive Technology Solutions, Inc. (CVE:QUIS) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Quisitive Technology Solutions

What Is Quisitive Technology Solutions's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Quisitive Technology Solutions had debt of US$76.6m, up from US$16.8m in one year. On the flip side, it has US$9.48m in cash leading to net debt of about US$67.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:QUIS Debt to Equity History August 10th 2022

A Look At Quisitive Technology Solutions' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Quisitive Technology Solutions had liabilities of US$47.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$91.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$9.48m in cash and US$27.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$101.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$169.3m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Quisitive Technology Solutions' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While we wouldn't worry about Quisitive Technology Solutions's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.6, we think its super-low interest cover of 0.46 times is a sign of high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Investors should also be troubled by the fact that Quisitive Technology Solutions saw its EBIT drop by 15% over the last twelve months. If that's the way things keep going handling the debt load will be like delivering hot coffees on a pogo stick. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Quisitive Technology Solutions can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Quisitive Technology Solutions recorded free cash flow of 26% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On the face of it, Quisitive Technology Solutions's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its interest cover was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And even its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow fails to inspire much confidence. Overall, it seems to us that Quisitive Technology Solutions's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Quisitive Technology Solutions has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Quisitive Technology Solutions might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.