Thinkific Labs Inc.

TSX:THNC Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$133.9m

Thinkific Labs Valuation

Is THNC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of THNC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CA$4.82
Fair Value
58.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: THNC (CA$2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$4.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: THNC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for THNC?

Key metric: As THNC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for THNC. This is calculated by dividing THNC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is THNC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio80.5x
EarningsUS$1.23m
Market CapUS$97.77m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does THNC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for THNC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average55.3x
IMP Intermap Technologies
43.7x98.08%CA$119.5m
ZOMD Zoomd Technologies
6.4xn/aCA$112.1m
BEW BeWhere Holdings
119.1xn/aCA$70.0m
NDA Neptune Digital Assets
52x-166.69%CA$172.8m
THNC Thinkific Labs
80.5x-114.28%CA$133.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: THNC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (80.5x) compared to the peer average (55.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does THNC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Software Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRDI Griid Infrastructure
3.3xn/aUS$70.78m
IDLE.X Generative AI Solutions
0.08xn/aUS$8.15m
LIQD Liquid Meta Capital Holdings
2.4xn/aUS$2.74m
SCYB Scryb
3.7xn/aUS$2.36m
THNC 80.5xIndustry Avg. 41.1xNo. of Companies8PE020406080100+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: THNC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (80.5x) compared to the Canadian Software industry average (40.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is THNC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

THNC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio80.5x
Fair PE Ratio8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: THNC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (80.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst THNC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$2.00
CA$4.01
+100.69%
19.95%CA$5.46CA$3.22n/a6
Jun ’26CA$2.56
CA$4.06
+58.48%
20.02%CA$5.52CA$3.26n/a6
May ’26CA$2.40
CA$4.04
+68.35%
17.63%CA$5.35CA$3.40n/a6
Apr ’26CA$2.61
CA$4.27
+63.50%
17.32%CA$5.52CA$3.51n/a6
Mar ’26CA$3.30
CA$4.75
+44.03%
13.80%CA$5.65CA$3.60n/a6
Feb ’26CA$3.09
CA$4.80
+55.26%
13.61%CA$5.68CA$3.62n/a6
Jan ’26CA$2.99
CA$4.78
+59.71%
13.58%CA$5.65CA$3.60n/a6
Dec ’25CA$3.03
CA$4.67
+54.18%
13.36%CA$5.51CA$3.50n/a6
Nov ’25CA$2.77
CA$4.74
+71.20%
8.64%CA$5.17CA$4.00n/a6
Oct ’25CA$2.80
CA$4.59
+63.95%
8.20%CA$4.99CA$3.91n/a6
Sep ’25CA$3.14
CA$4.66
+48.50%
7.99%CA$5.00CA$4.00n/a6
Aug ’25CA$3.44
CA$4.73
+37.45%
8.90%CA$5.30CA$4.03n/a6
Jul ’25CA$3.72
CA$4.58
+23.03%
11.38%CA$5.29CA$3.74n/a7
Jun ’25CA$3.54
CA$4.59
+29.74%
11.36%CA$5.30CA$3.75CA$2.567
May ’25CA$3.40
CA$4.64
+36.38%
9.34%CA$5.11CA$4.06CA$2.407
Apr ’25CA$4.12
CA$4.58
+11.27%
9.28%CA$5.04CA$4.00CA$2.617
Mar ’25CA$3.72
CA$3.84
+3.12%
21.24%CA$5.01CA$2.43CA$3.307
Feb ’25CA$3.58
CA$3.84
+7.16%
21.24%CA$5.01CA$2.43CA$3.097
Jan ’25CA$3.22
CA$3.73
+15.85%
22.87%CA$4.97CA$2.49CA$2.997
Dec ’24CA$3.55
CA$3.73
+5.08%
22.87%CA$4.97CA$2.49CA$3.037
Nov ’24CA$2.26
CA$3.60
+59.47%
25.78%CA$5.20CA$2.50CA$2.777
Oct ’24CA$2.20
CA$3.55
+61.36%
25.25%CA$5.08CA$2.50CA$2.807
Sep ’24CA$1.98
CA$3.55
+79.29%
25.25%CA$5.08CA$2.50CA$3.147
Aug ’24CA$2.00
CA$3.52
+76.05%
26.61%CA$4.95CA$2.50CA$3.447
Jul ’24CA$1.97
CA$3.98
+102.20%
34.00%CA$6.50CA$2.51CA$3.727
Jun ’24CA$2.10
CA$3.98
+89.69%
34.00%CA$6.50CA$2.51CA$3.547
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 6 Analysts
CA$4.01
Fair Value
50.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
6
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/06/18 11:19
End of Day Share Price 2025/06/18 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Thinkific Labs Inc. is covered by 6 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Martin TonerATB Capital Markets
Thanos MoschopoulosBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Robert YoungCanaccord Genuity