Stock Analysis

Earnings Surge and Doubling EPS Could Be a Game Changer for Kinaxis (TSX:KXS)

  • Kinaxis Inc. reported third quarter and nine-month earnings for 2025, showing sales of US$134.59 million and US$403.8 million, and net income of US$16.85 million and US$51.2 million, both well above the comparable periods a year earlier.
  • This strong earnings report also revealed that Kinaxis' basic earnings per share from continuing operations more than doubled year-over-year for both the quarter and year-to-date periods.
  • We'll examine how the significant jump in net income impacts Kinaxis' investment narrative and its outlook on profitability and growth.

Find companies with promising cash flow potential yet trading below their fair value.

Kinaxis Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Kinaxis shareholder, you need to believe that demand for AI-first, cloud-based supply chain platforms will keep rising, and that Kinaxis can differentiate itself compared to larger, established competitors. The recent earnings beat strengthens confidence in the short-term profitability story, but it does not materially shift the biggest risk: whether Kinaxis can maintain its unique value as enterprise customers develop their own AI solutions or seek lower-cost competitors.

Of the recent company announcements, the launch of Maestro Agents in October 2025 stands out as most relevant. This suite of AI-driven tools could further bolster Kinaxis’ competitive position by delivering meaningful improvements in supply chain decision-making, supporting the main catalysts for growth identified by analysts and underpinning the encouraging earnings momentum.

Yet, investors should be aware that, despite strong earnings, growing competition from open-source and in-house AI platforms poses a risk to Kinaxis’ future pricing power and market share...

Read the full narrative on Kinaxis (it's free!)

Kinaxis' narrative projects $742.1 million revenue and $115.9 million earnings by 2028. This requires 13.0% yearly revenue growth and a $91.1 million earnings increase from $24.8 million.

Uncover how Kinaxis' forecasts yield a CA$227.33 fair value, a 33% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSX:KXS Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
TSX:KXS Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Four private investors in the Simply Wall St Community estimate Kinaxis’ fair value between US$227.33 and US$339.62. As you consider these diverse views, remember that competition from open-source and in-house AI solutions may affect Kinaxis’ long-term margins and growth.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Kinaxis - why the stock might be worth as much as 99% more than the current price!

Build Your Own Kinaxis Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About TSX:KXS

Kinaxis

Provides cloud-based subscription software for supply chain operations in the United States, Europe, Asia, and Canada.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.

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