Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust

TSX:MHC.UN Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$544.6m

Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust Valuation

Is MHC.UN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MHC.UN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MHC.UN (CA$21.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$42.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MHC.UN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MHC.UN?

Key metric: As MHC.UN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MHC.UN. This is calculated by dividing MHC.UN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MHC.UN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.9x
EarningsUS$76.88m
Market CapUS$389.59m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MHC.UN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MHC.UN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.5x
MRG.UN Morguard North American Residential Real Estate Investment Trust
8.5xn/aCA$978.6m
NXR.UN Nexus Industrial REIT
13x12.4%CA$749.5m
APR.UN Automotive Properties Real Estate Investment Trust
12.7xn/aCA$566.5m
PLZ.UN Plaza Retail REIT
31.9xn/aCA$420.5m
MHC.UN Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust
3.9x-49.5%CA$544.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MHC.UN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.9x) compared to the peer average (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MHC.UN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Residential REITs Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.27.2x2.1%
MHC.UN Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust
3.9x-49.5%US$389.59m
MHC.UN 3.9xIndustry Avg. 27.2xNo. of Companies9PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.27.2x2.1%
MHC.UN Flagship Communities Real Estate Investment Trust
3.9x-49.5%US$389.59m
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MHC.UN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.9x) compared to the Global Residential REITs industry average (27.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MHC.UN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MHC.UN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.9x
Fair PE Ratio8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MHC.UN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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