Stock Analysis

Appili Therapeutics Inc.'s (TSE:APLI) Shift From Loss To Profit

TSX:APLI
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With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at Appili Therapeutics Inc.'s (TSE:APLI) future prospects. Appili Therapeutics Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, acquires, develops, and commercializes novel medicines for unmet needs in the infectious disease in Canada. The company’s loss has recently broadened since it announced a CA$5.4m loss in the full financial year, compared to the latest trailing-twelve-month loss of CA$7.5m, moving it further away from breakeven. The most pressing concern for investors is Appili Therapeutics' path to profitability – when will it breakeven? We've put together a brief outline of industry analyst expectations for the company, its year of breakeven and its implied growth rate.

See our latest analysis for Appili Therapeutics

Appili Therapeutics is bordering on breakeven, according to the 4 Canadian Pharmaceuticals analysts. They anticipate the company to incur a final loss in 2021, before generating positive profits of CA$4.2m in 2022. The company is therefore projected to breakeven around 2 years from now. In order to meet this breakeven date, we calculated the rate at which the company must grow year-on-year. It turns out an average annual growth rate of 61% is expected, which is extremely buoyant. If this rate turns out to be too aggressive, the company may become profitable much later than analysts predict.

earnings-per-share-growth
TSX:APLI Earnings Per Share Growth December 9th 2020

Given this is a high-level overview, we won’t go into details of Appili Therapeutics' upcoming projects, but, bear in mind that by and large pharmaceuticals, depending on the stage of product development, have irregular periods of cash flow. This means, large upcoming growth rates are not abnormal as the company is beginning to reap the benefits of earlier investments.

One thing we’d like to point out is that The company has managed its capital prudently, with debt making up 4.8% of equity. This means that it has predominantly funded its operations from equity capital, and its low debt obligation reduces the risk around investing in the loss-making company.

Next Steps:

There are too many aspects of Appili Therapeutics to cover in one brief article, but the key fundamentals for the company can all be found in one place – Appili Therapeutics' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of essential factors you should further examine:

  1. Valuation: What is Appili Therapeutics worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Appili Therapeutics is currently mispriced by the market.
  2. Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on Appili Therapeutics’s board and the CEO’s background.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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