Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes MTL Cannabis Corp. (CSE:MTLC) Following 27% Share Price Slump

CNSX:MTLC
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The MTL Cannabis Corp. (CSE:MTLC) share price has softened a substantial 27% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 25%.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think MTL Cannabis' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Canada's Pharmaceuticals industry is similar at about 0.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for MTL Cannabis

ps-multiple-vs-industry
CNSX:MTLC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 15th 2025

What Does MTL Cannabis' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Revenue has risen firmly for MTL Cannabis recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on MTL Cannabis' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is MTL Cannabis' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, MTL Cannabis would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 27% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 241% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 9.4% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that MTL Cannabis is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

MTL Cannabis' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that MTL Cannabis currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for MTL Cannabis (2 are potentially serious!) that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of MTL Cannabis' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.