Stock Analysis

iAnthus Capital Holdings, Inc. (CSE:IAN) Stock's 33% Dive Might Signal An Opportunity But It Requires Some Scrutiny

CNSX:IAN
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iAnthus Capital Holdings, Inc. (CSE:IAN) shares have had a horrible month, losing 33% after a relatively good period beforehand. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 87% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about iAnthus Capital Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Pharmaceuticals industry in Canada is also close to 1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for iAnthus Capital Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
CNSX:IAN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2023

What Does iAnthus Capital Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at iAnthus Capital Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on iAnthus Capital Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, iAnthus Capital Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 107% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 11% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that iAnthus Capital Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for iAnthus Capital Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Pharmaceuticals industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We didn't quite envision iAnthus Capital Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with iAnthus Capital Holdings (including 4 which make us uncomfortable).

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if iAnthus Capital Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.