Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around 4Front Ventures Corp.'s (CSE:FFNT) Earnings As Shares Take 28% Pounding

CNSX:FFNT
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, 4Front Ventures Corp. (CSE:FFNT) shares are down a considerable 28% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 80% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 12x, you may still consider 4Front Ventures as a highly attractive investment with its -1.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at 4Front Ventures over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for 4Front Ventures

pe-multiple-vs-industry
CNSX:FFNT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 13th 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on 4Front Ventures' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like 4Front Ventures' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 50%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 11% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we can see why 4Front Ventures is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

4Front Ventures' P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of 4Front Ventures revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for 4Front Ventures that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than 4Front Ventures. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.