Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By OverActive Media Corp.'s (CVE:OAM) 30% Share Price Surge

Published
TSXV:OAM

Those holding OverActive Media Corp. (CVE:OAM) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 30% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 44% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking OverActive Media is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.6x, considering almost half the companies in Canada's Entertainment industry have P/S ratios below 0.6x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for OverActive Media

TSXV:OAM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 2nd 2024

What Does OverActive Media's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, OverActive Media has been doing very well. The P/S ratio is probably high because investors think this strong revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on OverActive Media will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is OverActive Media's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as OverActive Media's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 35%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 114% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that OverActive Media's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does OverActive Media's P/S Mean For Investors?

OverActive Media shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of OverActive Media revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for OverActive Media (4 make us uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on OverActive Media, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.