Stock Analysis

Cineplex Inc.'s (TSE:CGX) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

TSX:CGX
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There wouldn't be many who think Cineplex Inc.'s (TSE:CGX) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Entertainment industry in Canada is similar at about 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for Cineplex

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:CGX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 27th 2024

How Has Cineplex Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Cineplex as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Cineplex's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Cineplex's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Cineplex's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 26%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 232% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 4.3% each year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 9.7% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Cineplex is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Cineplex's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

When you consider that Cineplex's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Cineplex (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Cineplex is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.