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Here's Why Cogeco Communications (TSE:CCA) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Cogeco Communications Inc. (TSE:CCA) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Cogeco Communications
What Is Cogeco Communications's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of August 2022 Cogeco Communications had CA$4.64b of debt, an increase on CA$3.24b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$370.9m, its net debt is less, at about CA$4.27b.
How Strong Is Cogeco Communications' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Cogeco Communications had liabilities of CA$987.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$5.10b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$370.9m as well as receivables valued at CA$114.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$5.60b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit casts a shadow over the CA$3.37b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Cogeco Communications would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Cogeco Communications has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.1 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.1 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. However, one redeeming factor is that Cogeco Communications grew its EBIT at 11% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cogeco Communications can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Cogeco Communications produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 53% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
We'd go so far as to say Cogeco Communications's level of total liabilities was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Cogeco Communications has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Cogeco Communications .
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CCA
Cogeco Communications
Operates as a telecommunications corporation in Canada and the United States.
Very undervalued established dividend payer.
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