Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Trigon Metals Inc. (CVE:TM) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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How Much Debt Does Trigon Metals Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, Trigon Metals had CA$8.60m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
How Strong Is Trigon Metals' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Trigon Metals had liabilities of CA$13.9m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$3.46m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CA$14.3k in cash and CA$328.8k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$17.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Trigon Metals has a market capitalization of CA$47.2m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Trigon Metals will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
In the last year Trigon Metals managed to produce its first revenue as a listed company, but given the lack of profit, shareholders will no doubt be hoping to see some strong increases.
Caveat Emptor
Importantly, Trigon Metals had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$7.9m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$22m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 6 warning signs for Trigon Metals (3 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:TM
Trigon Metals
Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and maintenance of mines and mineral properties in the African continent.
High growth potential slight.