Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd.'s (CVE:SCZ) Revenues Pushing Shares 35% Lower

TSXV:SCZ
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Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. (CVE:SCZ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 35% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 33% in the last year.

After such a large drop in price, Santacruz Silver Mining may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2.8x and even P/S higher than 20x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Santacruz Silver Mining

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:SCZ Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 18th 2024

How Has Santacruz Silver Mining Performed Recently?

It looks like revenue growth has deserted Santacruz Silver Mining recently, which is not something to boast about. Perhaps the market believes the recent lacklustre revenue performance is a sign of future underperformance relative to industry peers, hurting the P/S. Those who are bullish on Santacruz Silver Mining will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Santacruz Silver Mining will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Santacruz Silver Mining's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Santacruz Silver Mining's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, even though the last 12 months were nothing to write home about. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some serious questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 24%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Santacruz Silver Mining's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Santacruz Silver Mining's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We're very surprised to see Santacruz Silver Mining currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Santacruz Silver Mining that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.