Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Progressive Planet Solutions Inc.'s (CVE:PLAN) Muted Revenues Despite A 52% Share Price Rise

TSXV:PLAN
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Despite an already strong run, Progressive Planet Solutions Inc. (CVE:PLAN) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 52% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 67% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Progressive Planet Solutions may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 3.1x and even P/S higher than 21x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Progressive Planet Solutions

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:PLAN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 9th 2024

What Does Progressive Planet Solutions' Recent Performance Look Like?

It looks like revenue growth has deserted Progressive Planet Solutions recently, which is not something to boast about. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to worsen, which has repressed the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Progressive Planet Solutions' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Progressive Planet Solutions?

Progressive Planet Solutions' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. The longer-term trend has been no better as the company has no revenue growth to show for over the last three years either. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been satisfied with the complete absence of medium-term growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 19% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Progressive Planet Solutions is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price move, Progressive Planet Solutions' P/S still trails the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Progressive Planet Solutions revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

Having said that, be aware Progressive Planet Solutions is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Progressive Planet Solutions, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.