Orogen Royalties Valuation

Is OGN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OGN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OGN (CA$1.32) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$0.66)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OGN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OGN?

Key metric: As OGN is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for OGN. This is calculated by dividing OGN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is OGN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio36.3x
SalesCA$7.33m
Market CapCA$266.17m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does OGN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for OGN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.7x
EMX EMX Royalty
7.1x2.0%CA$275.0m
LIRC Lithium Royalty
62.1x56.5%CA$302.2m
USA Americas Gold and Silver
1.2x40.3%CA$164.4m
FAR Foraco International
0.5x6.9%CA$221.5m
OGN Orogen Royalties
36.3x1.7%CA$266.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: OGN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (36.3x) compared to the peer average (17.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does OGN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

88 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TECK.B Teck Resources
1.9x-10.1%US$22.53b
LUN Lundin Mining
1.6x5.8%US$6.83b
EDV Endeavour Mining
1.9x12.9%US$4.55b
BTO B2Gold
1.8x14.6%US$3.46b
OGN 36.3xIndustry Avg. 2.7xNo. of Companies88PS0816243240+
88 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: OGN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (36.3x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (2.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OGN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OGN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio36.3x
Fair PS Ratio7.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: OGN is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (36.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


Discover undervalued companies