Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Nicola Mining Inc. (CVE:NIM) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
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What Is Nicola Mining's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nicola Mining had debt of CA$4.49m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CA$5.72m over a year. On the flip side, it has CA$4.06m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$433.9k.
How Healthy Is Nicola Mining's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Nicola Mining had liabilities of CA$1.35m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$19.2m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CA$4.06m in cash and CA$470.2k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$16.1m.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Nicola Mining has a market capitalization of CA$51.7m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. But either way, Nicola Mining has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Nicola Mining will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Since Nicola Mining has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Nicola Mining produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$7.1m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. We would feel better if it turned its trailing twelve month loss of CA$5.2m into a profit. So we do think this stock is quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Nicola Mining (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:NIM
Nicola Mining
A junior exploration and custom milling company, engages in the identification, acquisition, and exploration of mineral property interests in Canada.
Adequate balance sheet slight.