Stock Analysis

Here's Why NevGold (CVE:NAU) Can Afford Some Debt

TSXV:NAU
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies NevGold Corp. (CVE:NAU) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for NevGold

What Is NevGold's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 NevGold had debt of CA$3.02m, up from none in one year. On the flip side, it has CA$2.05m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$966.2k.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:NAU Debt to Equity History December 2nd 2024

How Strong Is NevGold's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that NevGold had liabilities of CA$1.74m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$3.45m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$2.05m and CA$300.6k worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CA$2.84m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given NevGold has a market capitalization of CA$23.6m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is NevGold's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Since NevGold has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, NevGold had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$2.8m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$4.0m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 6 warning signs for NevGold (of which 3 make us uncomfortable!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.