Stock Analysis

Companies Like Morien Resources (CVE:MOX) Are In A Position To Invest In Growth

TSXV:MOX
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Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, Morien Resources (CVE:MOX) shareholders have done very well over the last year, with the share price soaring by 214%. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.

So notwithstanding the buoyant share price, we think it's well worth asking whether Morien Resources' cash burn is too risky. In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

See our latest analysis for Morien Resources

How Long Is Morien Resources' Cash Runway?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. When Morien Resources last reported its balance sheet in March 2022, it had zero debt and cash worth CA$2.2m. In the last year, its cash burn was CA$439k. That means it had a cash runway of about 4.9 years as of March 2022. A runway of this length affords the company the time and space it needs to develop the business. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:MOX Debt to Equity History July 1st 2022

How Is Morien Resources' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

In our view, Morien Resources doesn't yet produce significant amounts of operating revenue, since it reported just CA$2.8k in the last twelve months. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. During the last twelve months, its cash burn actually ramped up 89%. Oftentimes, increased cash burn simply means a company is accelerating its business development, but one should always be mindful that this causes the cash runway to shrink. Morien Resources makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

How Easily Can Morien Resources Raise Cash?

Given its cash burn trajectory, Morien Resources shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Morien Resources' cash burn of CA$439k is about 1.6% of its CA$28m market capitalisation. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.

How Risky Is Morien Resources' Cash Burn Situation?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Morien Resources is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. Although we do find its increasing cash burn to be a bit of a negative, once we consider the other metrics mentioned in this article together, the overall picture is one we are comfortable with. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn, which seems to be under control. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 4 warning signs for Morien Resources (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.