Stock Analysis

Is Mako Mining (CVE:MKO) A Risky Investment?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Mako Mining Corp. (CVE:MKO) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Mako Mining

What Is Mako Mining's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Mako Mining had debt of US$16.1m at the end of September 2022, a reduction from US$24.3m over a year. However, it does have US$704.0k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$15.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:MKO Debt to Equity History January 9th 2023

A Look At Mako Mining's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Mako Mining had liabilities of US$17.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$15.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$704.0k and US$2.08m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$29.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Mako Mining is worth US$90.5m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Mako Mining will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Mako Mining reported revenue of US$59m, which is a gain of 208%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Mako Mining still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$5.1m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$8.8m. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Mako Mining you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSXV:MKO

Mako Mining

Engages in gold mining and exploration activities in Nicaragua.

Flawless balance sheet and fair value.

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