Stock Analysis

Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. (CVE:GSVR) Shares Fly 27% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

TSXV:GSVR
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Those holding Guanajuato Silver Company Ltd. (CVE:GSVR) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 14% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, Guanajuato Silver may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 3.4x and even P/S higher than 22x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Guanajuato Silver

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSXV:GSVR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 6th 2024

What Does Guanajuato Silver's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Guanajuato Silver as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Guanajuato Silver.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guanajuato Silver?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Guanajuato Silver's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 21%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 17% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 20% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Guanajuato Silver's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Guanajuato Silver's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Guanajuato Silver maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Guanajuato Silver (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.