Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Canada Nickel Company Inc. (CVE:CNC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Canada Nickel
What Is Canada Nickel's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at October 2022 Canada Nickel had debt of CA$13.3m, up from none in one year. On the flip side, it has CA$13.0m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$282.0k.
How Healthy Is Canada Nickel's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Canada Nickel had liabilities of CA$24.2m due within a year, and liabilities of CA$1.26m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$13.0m and CA$1.89m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CA$10.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Canada Nickel has a market capitalization of CA$200.4m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. But either way, Canada Nickel has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Canada Nickel's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Since Canada Nickel has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Canada Nickel produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CA$9.0m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$51m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Canada Nickel (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:CNC
Canada Nickel
Engages in the exploration, discovery, and development of nickel sulphide assets.
Good value slight.