Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Atico Mining Corporation (CVE:ATY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Atico Mining
What Is Atico Mining's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Atico Mining had US$25.1m of debt, an increase on US$22.7m, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$6.12m in cash leading to net debt of about US$19.0m.
How Healthy Is Atico Mining's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Atico Mining had liabilities of US$32.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$20.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$6.12m as well as receivables valued at US$11.5m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$36.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$16.8m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Atico Mining would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Atico Mining's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
In the last year Atico Mining wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 9.2%, to US$63m. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Atico Mining produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$4.7m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$2.7m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Atico Mining (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSXV:ATY
Atico Mining
Engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of copper and gold projects in Latin America.
Undervalued with mediocre balance sheet.