Stock Analysis

Can You Imagine How Jubilant Atico Mining's (CVE:ATY) Shareholders Feel About Its 125% Share Price Gain?

TSXV:ATY
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The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For example, the Atico Mining Corporation (CVE:ATY) share price has soared 125% in the last half decade. Most would be very happy with that. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 21% gain in the last three months. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 14% in the last three months.

View our latest analysis for Atico Mining

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the last half decade, Atico Mining became profitable. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. We can see that the Atico Mining share price is down 28% in the last three years. During the same period, EPS grew by 35% each year. So there seems to be a mismatch between the positive EPS growth and the change in the share price, which is down -10% per year.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
TSXV:ATY Earnings Per Share Growth January 21st 2021

It is of course excellent to see how Atico Mining has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Atico Mining shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 35% over one year. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 18%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Atico Mining better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Atico Mining has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

But note: Atico Mining may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CA exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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