Stock Analysis

Here's Why Alphamin Resources (CVE:AFM) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TSXV:AFM
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Alphamin Resources Corp. (CVE:AFM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Alphamin Resources

How Much Debt Does Alphamin Resources Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Alphamin Resources had US$4.83m of debt in March 2023, down from US$5.96m, one year before. However, it does have US$98.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$93.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:AFM Debt to Equity History August 3rd 2023

How Strong Is Alphamin Resources' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Alphamin Resources had liabilities of US$96.5m due within a year, and liabilities of US$33.8m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$98.1m in cash and US$29.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.76m.

This state of affairs indicates that Alphamin Resources' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the US$907.9m company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Alphamin Resources boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Alphamin Resources if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 42% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Alphamin Resources can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Alphamin Resources has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Alphamin Resources produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 63% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Alphamin Resources has US$93.3m in net cash. So we don't have any problem with Alphamin Resources's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Alphamin Resources has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.