Atlas Engineered Products Ltd.

TSXV:AEP Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$86.8m

Atlas Engineered Products Valuation

Is AEP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AEP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AEP (CA$1.23) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$0.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AEP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AEP?

Key metric: As AEP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AEP. This is calculated by dividing AEP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AEP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio75.7x
EarningsCA$1.15m
Market CapCA$86.76m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AEP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AEP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.5x
ADN Acadian Timber
11.4xn/aCA$316.0m
SJ Stella-Jones
12.2x-1.8%CA$4.0b
IFX Imaflex
12.3xn/aCA$70.8m
MSR Minsud Resources
22xn/aCA$107.2m
AEP Atlas Engineered Products
75.7xn/aCA$86.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AEP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (75.7x) compared to the peer average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AEP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Forestry Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AEP 75.7xIndustry Avg. 15.8xNo. of Companies33PE01632486480+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AEP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (75.7x) compared to the Global Forestry industry average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AEP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AEP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio75.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AEP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AEP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$1.23
CA$2.29
+86.2%
19.2%CA$2.75CA$1.75n/a5
Dec ’25CA$1.24
CA$2.29
+84.7%
19.2%CA$2.75CA$1.75n/a5
Nov ’25CA$1.23
CA$2.40
+95.1%
13.1%CA$2.75CA$2.00n/a5
Oct ’25CA$1.35
CA$2.40
+77.8%
13.1%CA$2.75CA$2.00n/a5
Sep ’25CA$1.30
CA$2.40
+84.6%
14.7%CA$2.75CA$2.00n/a4
Aug ’25CA$1.34
CA$2.43
+81.0%
13.7%CA$2.75CA$2.00n/a4
Jul ’25CA$1.42
CA$2.43
+70.8%
13.7%CA$2.75CA$2.00n/a4
Jun ’25CA$1.33
CA$2.28
+71.7%
14.6%CA$2.75CA$2.00n/a3
May ’25CA$1.41
CA$2.12
+50.1%
4.9%CA$2.25CA$2.00n/a3
Apr ’25CA$1.53
CA$1.92
+25.3%
16.3%CA$2.25CA$1.50n/a3
Mar ’25CA$1.57
CA$1.92
+22.1%
16.3%CA$2.25CA$1.50n/a3
Feb ’25CA$1.17
CA$1.92
+63.8%
16.3%CA$2.25CA$1.50n/a3
Jan ’25CA$1.14
CA$1.92
+68.1%
16.3%CA$2.25CA$1.50n/a3
Dec ’24CA$1.01
CA$1.92
+89.8%
16.3%CA$2.25CA$1.50CA$1.243
Nov ’24CA$1.15
CA$1.98
+72.5%
11.3%CA$2.25CA$1.70CA$1.233
Oct ’24CA$1.20
CA$1.98
+65.3%
11.3%CA$2.25CA$1.70CA$1.353
Sep ’24CA$1.19
CA$1.98
+66.0%
13.9%CA$2.25CA$1.70CA$1.302
Aug ’24CA$1.03
CA$1.63
+57.8%
7.7%CA$1.75CA$1.50CA$1.342
Jul ’24CA$1.17
CA$1.63
+38.9%
7.7%CA$1.75CA$1.50CA$1.422
Jun ’24CA$1.06
CA$1.63
+53.3%
7.7%CA$1.75CA$1.50CA$1.332
May ’24CA$1.10
CA$1.60
+45.5%
9.4%CA$1.75CA$1.45CA$1.412
Apr ’24CA$0.95
CA$1.55
+63.2%
12.9%CA$1.75CA$1.35CA$1.532
Mar ’24CA$1.06
CA$1.53
+43.9%
14.8%CA$1.75CA$1.30CA$1.572

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 05:11
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Atlas Engineered Products Ltd. is covered by 5 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell StanleyBeacon Securities Limited
Stephen KammermayerClarus Securities Inc.
David OcampoCormark Securities Inc.