Acadian Timber Corp.

TSX:ADN Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$307.4m

Acadian Timber Valuation

Is ADN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of ADN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: ADN (CA$16.4) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value (CA$12.1)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: ADN is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADN?

Key metric: As ADN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADN. This is calculated by dividing ADN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.2x
EarningsCA$14.84m
Market CapCA$307.40m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13x
SJ Stella-Jones
15.8x2.16%CA$5.4b
RIC Richards Group
14.8x16.71%CA$335.1m
DRX ADF Group
8.9x56.42%CA$268.1m
FAR Foraco International
12.5x37.62%CA$284.7m
ADN Acadian Timber
20.2x6.25%CA$307.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the peer average (12.7x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Forestry Industry?

8 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ADN 20.2xIndustry Avg. 18.7xNo. of Companies24PE01632486480+
8 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the Global Forestry industry average (19x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.2x
Fair PE Ratio13x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$16.40
CA$17.75
+8.23%
4.23%CA$18.50CA$17.00n/a2
Jan ’27CA$15.90
CA$17.75
+11.64%
4.23%CA$18.50CA$17.00n/a2
Dec ’26CA$15.51
CA$17.75
+14.44%
4.23%CA$18.50CA$17.00n/a2
Nov ’26CA$14.33
CA$17.75
+23.87%
4.23%CA$18.50CA$17.00n/a2
Oct ’26CA$16.22
CA$19.50
+20.22%
2.56%CA$20.00CA$19.00n/a2
Sep ’26CA$17.78
CA$19.50
+9.67%
2.56%CA$20.00CA$19.00n/a2
Aug ’26CA$17.93
CA$19.50
+8.76%
2.56%CA$20.00CA$19.00n/a2
Jul ’26CA$17.71
CA$19.50
+10.11%
2.56%CA$20.00CA$19.00n/a2
Jun ’26CA$17.97
CA$19.50
+8.51%
2.56%CA$20.00CA$19.00n/a2
May ’26CA$17.30
CA$19.50
+12.72%
2.56%CA$20.00CA$19.00n/a2
Apr ’26CA$17.39
CA$20.50
+17.88%
2.44%CA$21.00CA$20.00n/a2
Mar ’26CA$17.41
CA$20.50
+17.75%
2.44%CA$21.00CA$20.00n/a2
Oct ’25CA$17.45
CA$20.33
+16.52%
2.32%CA$21.00CA$20.00CA$16.223
Sep ’25CA$17.32
CA$20.33
+17.40%
2.32%CA$21.00CA$20.00CA$17.783
Aug ’25CA$18.09
CA$20.33
+12.40%
2.32%CA$21.00CA$20.00CA$17.933
May ’25CA$17.54
CA$18.83
+7.37%
4.51%CA$20.00CA$18.00CA$17.303
Apr ’25CA$17.29
CA$17.83
+3.14%
3.50%CA$18.50CA$17.00CA$17.393
Mar ’25CA$16.91
CA$17.83
+5.46%
3.50%CA$18.50CA$17.00CA$17.413
CA$17.75
Fair Value
7.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/05 05:13
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/05 00:00
Earnings2025/09/27
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Acadian Timber Corp. is covered by 4 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark KennedyCIBC Capital Markets
Daryl SwetlishoffRaymond James Ltd.
Matthew McKellarRBC Capital Markets