Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That West Fraser Timber (TSE:WFG) Is Using Debt Safely

TSX:WFG
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. (TSE:WFG) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for West Fraser Timber

What Is West Fraser Timber's Debt?

As you can see below, West Fraser Timber had US$500.0m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$1.00b in cash, so it actually has US$504.0m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:WFG Debt to Equity History September 29th 2024

How Healthy Is West Fraser Timber's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that West Fraser Timber had liabilities of US$1.01b due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.09b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.00b and US$449.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$650.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given West Fraser Timber has a market capitalization of US$7.73b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, West Fraser Timber boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Even more impressive was the fact that West Fraser Timber grew its EBIT by 339% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine West Fraser Timber's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. West Fraser Timber may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, West Fraser Timber produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 68% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about West Fraser Timber's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$504.0m. And we liked the look of last year's 339% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is West Fraser Timber's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for West Fraser Timber you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if West Fraser Timber might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.