With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 3.3x in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about TRX Gold Corporation's (TSE:TRX) P/S ratio of 3.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for TRX Gold
How TRX Gold Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, TRX Gold has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on TRX Gold will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, TRX Gold would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 4.4% gain to the company's revenues. Although, the latest three year period in total hasn't been as good as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 69% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 21% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that TRX Gold is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On TRX Gold's P/S
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Looking at TRX Gold's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for TRX Gold with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if TRX Gold might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:TRX
TRX Gold
Engages in the exploration, development, and production of mineral property interests in the United Republic of Tanzania.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.