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We Think TRX Gold (TSE:TNX) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth
There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.
Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether TRX Gold (TSE:TNX) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
See our latest analysis for TRX Gold
SWOT Analysis for TRX Gold
- Currently debt free.
- No major weaknesses identified for TNX.
- Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows.
- Good value based on P/S ratio compared to estimated Fair P/S ratio.
- Not expected to become profitable over the next 3 years.
How Long Is TRX Gold's Cash Runway?
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. In February 2023, TRX Gold had US$9.5m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through US$330k. So it had a very long cash runway of many years from February 2023. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
How Well Is TRX Gold Growing?
Given our focus on TRX Gold's cash burn, we're delighted to see that it reduced its cash burn by a nifty 98%. But it was even more encouraging to see that operating revenue growth was as flash as a rat with a gold tooth, up 847% in that time. Overall, we'd say its growth is rather impressive. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
How Easily Can TRX Gold Raise Cash?
There's no doubt TRX Gold seems to be in a fairly good position, when it comes to managing its cash burn, but even if it's only hypothetical, it's always worth asking how easily it could raise more money to fund growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
TRX Gold has a market capitalisation of US$160m and burnt through US$330k last year, which is 0.2% of the company's market value. That means it could easily issue a few shares to fund more growth, and might well be in a position to borrow cheaply.
So, Should We Worry About TRX Gold's Cash Burn?
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way TRX Gold is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash burn reduction stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. And even its cash burn relative to its market cap was very encouraging. After considering a range of factors in this article, we're pretty relaxed about its cash burn, since the company seems to be in a good position to continue to fund its growth. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 2 warning signs for TRX Gold (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if TRX Gold might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:TRX
TRX Gold
Engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.