Stock Analysis

Supremex's (TSE:SXP) Shareholders May Want To Dig Deeper Than Statutory Profit

The market for Supremex Inc.'s (TSE:SXP) stock was strong after it released a healthy earnings report last week. While the profit numbers were good, our analysis has found some concerning factors that shareholders should be aware of.

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSX:SXP Earnings and Revenue History November 13th 2025
Advertisement

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

For anyone who wants to understand Supremex's profit beyond the statutory numbers, it's important to note that during the last twelve months statutory profit gained from CA$6.3m worth of unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Supremex's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2025. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Supremex's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think the significant positive unusual item makes Supremex's earnings a poor guide to its underlying profitability. For this reason, we think that Supremex's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about Supremex as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 4 warning signs for Supremex (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Supremex's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:SXP

Supremex

Manufactures and markets envelopes, and paper-based packaging solutions and specialty products for corporations, direct mailers, resellers, government entities, small and medium sized enterprises, and solution providers in Canada and the United States.

Good value with adequate balance sheet.

Advertisement