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Silvercorp Metals Inc. (TSE:SVM) Surges 25% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement
Silvercorp Metals Inc. (TSE:SVM) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 66%.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in Canada have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 15x, you may still consider Silvercorp Metals as an attractive investment with its 11.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Silvercorp Metals certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Silvercorp Metals
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Silvercorp Metals' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 110%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 71% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 5.5% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 20% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Silvercorp Metals' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Silvercorp Metals' P/E
Despite Silvercorp Metals' shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Silvercorp Metals' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Silvercorp Metals you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Silvercorp Metals, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:SVM
Silvercorp Metals
Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and mining of mineral properties.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.
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