Stock Analysis

Signal Gold Inc. (TSE:SGNL) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 26%

TSX:SGNL
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Signal Gold Inc. (TSE:SGNL) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 71% share price decline.

After such a large drop in price, Signal Gold may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x, considering almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2.1x and even P/S higher than 14x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Signal Gold

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:SGNL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 30th 2024

How Has Signal Gold Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Signal Gold as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Signal Gold's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Signal Gold would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. Thanks to this gigantic uplift, it also grew revenue by 9.6% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth, although potentially wondering why there's so much variation in revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 95% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 15% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Signal Gold's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Signal Gold's P/S

Signal Gold's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Signal Gold's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Signal Gold (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Signal Gold, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Signal Gold is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.