Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Pan American Silver Corp. (TSE:PAAS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Pan American Silver
How Much Debt Does Pan American Silver Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Pan American Silver had US$708.8m in debt in December 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has US$887.3m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$178.5m net cash.
How Strong Is Pan American Silver's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Pan American Silver had liabilities of US$687.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.80b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$887.3m and US$195.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$1.40b.
Since publicly traded Pan American Silver shares are worth a total of US$8.89b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Pan American Silver boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Pleasingly, Pan American Silver is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 919% gain in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Pan American Silver can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Pan American Silver may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Pan American Silver actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Summing Up
While Pan American Silver does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$178.5m. The cherry on top was that in converted 121% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$401m. So is Pan American Silver's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Pan American Silver .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:PAAS
Pan American Silver
Engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Canada, Mexico, Peru, Bolivia, Argentina, Chile, and Brazil.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.
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