Stock Analysis

How Aura Minerals' Move to the S&P Global BMI Index (TSX:ORA) Has Changed Its Investment Story

  • Aura Minerals Inc. was recently added to the S&P Global BMI Index following its voluntary delisting from the Toronto Stock Exchange, with continued listings on Nasdaq and Brazil’s B3 exchange under current symbols.
  • The company’s decision to consolidate trading in the U.S. market aims to improve stock liquidity and streamline ongoing listing expenses, while assuring BDR holders of continued support.
  • We'll explore how Aura’s inclusion in the S&P Global BMI Index could influence its investment case, particularly regarding liquidity and investor visibility.

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Aura Minerals Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Aura Minerals right now, you need to believe in its ability to execute production growth while managing gold price volatility and cash costs. The recent addition to the S&P Global BMI Index and delisting from the TSX may modestly improve trading liquidity, but do not materially alter the key short-term catalyst: the successful commercial ramp-up at Borborema. The biggest risk remains production and cost consistency as Aura moves through its investment phase.

Among Aura’s latest updates, the Q2 2025 earnings report highlighted a return to profitability on increased sales, signaling some improvement in underlying operations. This financial result ties directly to the main catalyst, as higher production at Borborema and stabilized costs could help sustain momentum and address recent underperformance.

But investors should also keep in mind, if production setbacks or cost overruns persist, especially at sites like Almas…

Read the full narrative on Aura Minerals (it's free!)

Aura Minerals' outlook anticipates $1.3 billion in revenue and $404.9 million in earnings by 2028. This scenario is based on a projected annual revenue growth rate of 23.8% and an earnings increase of $465.3 million from current earnings of -$60.4 million.

Uncover how Aura Minerals' forecasts yield a CA$8.84 fair value, a 80% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSX:ORA Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
TSX:ORA Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

Three investors in the Simply Wall St Community offered fair value estimates ranging from US$8.84 to US$163.70 per share. Liquidity concerns affecting investor access remain central and may shape how broadly Aura’s growth story is recognized.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Aura Minerals - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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