Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Jaguar Mining (TSE:JAG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

TSX:JAG
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Jaguar Mining Inc. (TSE:JAG) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Jaguar Mining

What Is Jaguar Mining's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Jaguar Mining had debt of US$3.41m, up from US$3.03m in one year. But it also has US$20.0m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$16.6m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:JAG Debt to Equity History December 7th 2023

How Healthy Is Jaguar Mining's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Jaguar Mining had liabilities of US$30.7m due within a year, and liabilities of US$36.5m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$20.0m and US$8.24m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$39.0m.

This deficit isn't so bad because Jaguar Mining is worth US$117.5m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Jaguar Mining boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Jaguar Mining's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year, but that shouldn't be an issue given the it doesn't have a lot of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jaguar Mining's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Jaguar Mining has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Jaguar Mining reported free cash flow worth 12% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Summing Up

Although Jaguar Mining's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$16.6m. So we don't have any problem with Jaguar Mining's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Jaguar Mining .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.