Stock Analysis

Jaguar Mining (TSE:JAG) Is Reducing Its Dividend To CA$0.04

TSX:JAG
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Jaguar Mining Inc.'s (TSE:JAG) dividend is being reduced to CA$0.04 on the 31st of May. This means the annual payment is 5.6% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Jaguar Mining's stock price has reduced by 36% in the last 3 months, which is not ideal for investors and can explain a sharp increase in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for Jaguar Mining

Jaguar Mining's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. The last dividend was quite easily covered by Jaguar Mining's earnings. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 69.7% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 31% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
TSX:JAG Historic Dividend May 17th 2022

Jaguar Mining's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, the company hasn't been paying the most consistent dividend, but with such a short dividend history it could be too early to draw solid conclusions. The first annual payment during the last 2 years was US$0.24 in 2020, and the most recent fiscal year payment was US$0.12. Dividend payments have fallen sharply, down 49% over that time. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the track record hasn't been stellar, we really want to see earnings per share growing over time. Jaguar Mining has impressed us by growing EPS at 70% per year over the past five years. Jaguar Mining is clearly able to grow rapidly while still returning cash to shareholders, positioning it to become a strong dividend payer in the future.

We Really Like Jaguar Mining's Dividend

It is generally not great to see the dividend being cut, but we don't think this should happen much if at all in the future given that Jaguar Mining has the makings of a solid income stock moving forward. By reducing the dividend, pressure will be taken off the balance sheet, which could help the dividend to be consistent in the future. Taking this all into consideration, this looks like it could be a good dividend opportunity.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Jaguar Mining that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.