Geodrill Valuation

Is GEO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GEO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GEO (CA$2.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$30.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GEO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GEO?

Key metric: As GEO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GEO. This is calculated by dividing GEO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GEO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.7x
EarningsUS$8.33m
Market CapUS$97.51m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GEO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GEO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.6x
LITH Lithium Chile
14.3xn/aCA$125.9m
SMT Sierra Metals
64.4xn/aCA$141.9m
FAR Foraco International
5.7x27.7%CA$215.7m
LA Los Andes Copper
38.1xn/aCA$224.5m
GEO Geodrill
11.7xn/aCA$136.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GEO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (30.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GEO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

33 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SLI Standard Lithium
2.9xn/aUS$325.70m
APM Andean Precious Metals
2.4x-42.9%US$133.57m
STGO Steppe Gold
2.3xn/aUS$117.57m
DC.A Dundee
2.3xn/aUS$106.83m
GEO 11.7xIndustry Avg. 12.5xNo. of Companies33PE01632486480+
33 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GEO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (12.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GEO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GEO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GEO's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GEO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$2.89
CA$3.84
+32.8%
12.3%CA$4.51CA$3.50n/a3
Nov ’25CA$2.90
CA$3.58
+23.3%
14.4%CA$4.24CA$3.00n/a3
Oct ’25CA$2.52
CA$3.58
+41.9%
14.4%CA$4.24CA$3.00n/a3
Sep ’25CA$2.71
CA$3.58
+32.0%
14.4%CA$4.24CA$3.00n/a3
Aug ’25CA$2.36
CA$2.93
+24.1%
26.7%CA$4.03CA$2.26n/a3
Jul ’25CA$2.31
CA$2.93
+26.7%
26.7%CA$4.03CA$2.26n/a3
Jun ’25CA$2.16
CA$2.93
+35.5%
26.7%CA$4.03CA$2.26n/a3
May ’25CA$2.04
CA$2.81
+37.5%
30.4%CA$4.01CA$2.15n/a3
Apr ’25CA$1.90
CA$2.81
+47.7%
30.4%CA$4.01CA$2.15n/a3
Mar ’25CA$1.74
CA$2.95
+69.3%
28.9%CA$3.97CA$1.89n/a3
Feb ’25CA$1.71
CA$2.95
+72.3%
28.9%CA$3.97CA$1.89n/a3
Jan ’25CA$1.79
CA$2.95
+64.6%
28.9%CA$3.97CA$1.89n/a3
Dec ’24CA$1.78
CA$2.95
+65.5%
28.9%CA$3.97CA$1.89n/a3
Nov ’24CA$1.69
CA$3.28
+94.2%
43.5%CA$5.15CA$1.70CA$2.903
Oct ’24CA$2.35
CA$4.49
+91.0%
9.1%CA$4.99CA$3.99CA$2.523
Sep ’24CA$2.49
CA$4.49
+80.2%
9.1%CA$4.99CA$3.99CA$2.713
Aug ’24CA$3.10
CA$4.55
+46.6%
6.9%CA$4.97CA$4.21CA$2.363
Jul ’24CA$3.15
CA$4.62
+46.6%
6.1%CA$5.00CA$4.24CA$2.314
Jun ’24CA$3.05
CA$4.62
+51.5%
6.1%CA$5.00CA$4.24CA$2.164
May ’24CA$3.13
CA$4.56
+45.6%
8.4%CA$5.02CA$4.06CA$2.044
Apr ’24CA$3.50
CA$4.56
+30.2%
8.4%CA$5.02CA$4.06CA$1.904
Mar ’24CA$2.94
CA$4.53
+54.0%
8.3%CA$5.14CA$4.11CA$1.744
Feb ’24CA$2.90
CA$4.53
+56.2%
8.3%CA$5.14CA$4.11CA$1.714
Jan ’24CA$2.63
CA$4.53
+72.2%
8.3%CA$5.14CA$4.11CA$1.794
Dec ’23CA$2.48
CA$4.38
+76.7%
8.5%CA$5.01CA$4.01CA$1.784
Nov ’23CA$2.60
CA$4.38
+68.6%
8.7%CA$5.02CA$4.00CA$1.694

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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