Geodrill Limited

TSX:GEO Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$142.0m

Geodrill Valuation

Is GEO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GEO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GEO (CA$3.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$32.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GEO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GEO?

Key metric: As GEO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GEO. This is calculated by dividing GEO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GEO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.9x
EarningsUS$8.33m
Market CapUS$98.85m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GEO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GEO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average36.3x
CDPR Cerro de Pasco Resources
6.4xn/aCA$118.7m
LITH Lithium Chile
17.1xn/aCA$163.0m
LUCA Luca Mining
99.9xn/aCA$111.1m
MSR Minsud Resources
22xn/aCA$107.2m
GEO Geodrill
11.9xn/aCA$142.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GEO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the peer average (36.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GEO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

37 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SLI Standard Lithium
2.6xn/aUS$285.82m
APM Andean Precious Metals
2.6x-42.9%US$141.87m
THX Thor Explorations
2.7x2.5%US$137.26m
STGO Steppe Gold
2.1x-11.5%US$109.15m
GEO 11.9xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies37PE01632486480+
37 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GEO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GEO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GEO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GEO's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GEO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$3.01
CA$3.84
+27.5%
12.3%CA$4.51CA$3.50n/a3
Dec ’25CA$2.86
CA$3.84
+34.1%
12.3%CA$4.51CA$3.50n/a3
Nov ’25CA$2.90
CA$3.58
+23.3%
14.4%CA$4.24CA$3.00n/a3
Oct ’25CA$2.52
CA$3.58
+41.9%
14.4%CA$4.24CA$3.00n/a3
Sep ’25CA$2.71
CA$3.58
+32.0%
14.4%CA$4.24CA$3.00n/a3
Aug ’25CA$2.36
CA$2.93
+24.1%
26.7%CA$4.03CA$2.26n/a3
Jul ’25CA$2.31
CA$2.93
+26.7%
26.7%CA$4.03CA$2.26n/a3
Jun ’25CA$2.16
CA$2.93
+35.5%
26.7%CA$4.03CA$2.26n/a3
May ’25CA$2.04
CA$2.81
+37.5%
30.4%CA$4.01CA$2.15n/a3
Apr ’25CA$1.90
CA$2.81
+47.7%
30.4%CA$4.01CA$2.15n/a3
Mar ’25CA$1.74
CA$2.95
+69.3%
28.9%CA$3.97CA$1.89n/a3
Feb ’25CA$1.71
CA$2.95
+72.3%
28.9%CA$3.97CA$1.89n/a3
Jan ’25CA$1.79
CA$2.95
+64.6%
28.9%CA$3.97CA$1.89n/a3
Dec ’24CA$1.78
CA$2.95
+65.5%
28.9%CA$3.97CA$1.89CA$2.863
Nov ’24CA$1.69
CA$3.28
+94.2%
43.5%CA$5.15CA$1.70CA$2.903
Oct ’24CA$2.35
CA$4.49
+91.0%
9.1%CA$4.99CA$3.99CA$2.523
Sep ’24CA$2.49
CA$4.49
+80.2%
9.1%CA$4.99CA$3.99CA$2.713
Aug ’24CA$3.10
CA$4.55
+46.6%
6.9%CA$4.97CA$4.21CA$2.363
Jul ’24CA$3.15
CA$4.62
+46.6%
6.1%CA$5.00CA$4.24CA$2.314
Jun ’24CA$3.05
CA$4.62
+51.5%
6.1%CA$5.00CA$4.24CA$2.164
May ’24CA$3.13
CA$4.56
+45.6%
8.4%CA$5.02CA$4.06CA$2.044
Apr ’24CA$3.50
CA$4.56
+30.2%
8.4%CA$5.02CA$4.06CA$1.904
Mar ’24CA$2.94
CA$4.53
+54.0%
8.3%CA$5.14CA$4.11CA$1.744
Feb ’24CA$2.90
CA$4.53
+56.2%
8.3%CA$5.14CA$4.11CA$1.714
Jan ’24CA$2.63
CA$4.53
+72.2%
8.3%CA$5.14CA$4.11CA$1.794
Dec ’23CA$2.48
CA$4.38
+76.7%
8.5%CA$5.01CA$4.01CA$1.784

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 01:23
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Geodrill Limited is covered by 8 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Donangelo VolpeBeacon Securities Limited
Ahmad ShaathBeacon Securities Limited
Nicolas DionCormark Securities Inc.